Donald Trump

[stevebrooks]

Trump "dancing" for 40 minutes. Next he'll paint the walls with his own shit and they'll call it a campaign event.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... ania-rally

Yeah, this was a "town hall" where he was supposed to be answering questions, he just stopped and stood there with music playing......bizarre.

[stevebrooks]

It's approaching end game for both parties, Kamala Harris is talking to larger and larger crowds while Trump's crowds shrink by the day, Kamala discusses the future of America and how it is important to have a stable and strong leader as the President while Trumps discusses the size of Arnold Palmer's penis.....no really I'm not joking, that was in fact his ending statement to the crowd, how large Arnold Palmer's penis was!

I don't see how he can win at this stage, 16 days to go, he's swearing, literally calling Kamala shit, talking about penises at campaign rallies, even if by some mad happenstance wins the election he won't make it to the inauguration, Vance would be inaugurated as President because Trump has gone....he's lala, imagine talking about the size of Arnold Pamler's penis at an election rally!

And yet, the main news channels are still sane washing his rallies, news reports still treat him as a normal person and hide the really weird bits that should and would alarm people.

[stevebrooks]

Trump went to work at McDonalds to prove how easy it was, oh yes, they shut the restaurant down for the day, so he didn't actually work there, he was play acting, he wouldn't last an hour at a real working McDonalds. Of course he couldn't anyway, doubt of they would have a convicted sex offender serving food to children, he was a convicted felon and no doubt he wouldn't want to wear a hair net and muss his "ahem" lovely hair!

https://imgur.com/gallery/sadly-restaur ... on-kZxFUIf

[stevebrooks]

Huh, who would have thought, Florida is in play in this election, apparently Kampala well ahead of Biden's 2020 numbers in early voting and polling indicates strong swings to Harris. Keep in mind Trump only beat Biden in 2020 by just over 3%!

Here's a video but if you don't feel like watching it I suggest just going to the 9:44 mark and have a look at idiot Eric Trump and wife....and children sans life jackets standing on the edge of a boat in choppy waters, what an idiot!

[stylofone]

Huh, who would have thought, Florida is in play in this election, apparently Kampala well ahead of Biden's 2020 numbers in early voting and polling indicates strong swings to Harris. Keep in mind Trump only beat Biden in 2020 by just over 3%!

Here's a video but if you don't feel like watching it I suggest just going to the 9:44 mark and have a look at idiot Eric Trump and wife....and children sans life jackets standing on the edge of a boat in choppy waters, what an idiot!

I hope this guy is right. His claims come across as optimistic and based on indicators which have failed in the past. But I can see a light at the end of the tunnel. Polling no longer works as a reliable predictor. I wonder if Trump and his droogs are scared, and this is why the orange clown is becoming more desperate with his "she's shit" comments etc., but all he's doing is making things worse for himself. Same with Musk trying to bribe people with his million dollar lottery, it comes across as a bit desperate.

[stevebrooks]

Yeah lets ignore the Trump discussing the size of Arnold Palmer's penis at a campaign rally and praise his play acting stunt at a closed McDonalds as the election winning move;

I thought of this quote when Donald Trump turned up yesterday at a McDonald’s restaurant in suburban Philadelphia to work a shift making French fries, then handing bags of food to drive-through customers.

As political stunts go, this might have been the best I’ve ever seen, because it served two very powerful purposes in the presidential race.

Well he didn't "turn up", the place was closed, been advertised it would be closed the week before, there were no "customers" they were actors and Republicans, no money changed hands, the roads all around were closed off by the SS, he didn't "work a shift," he played with the deep fryer for 15 minutes, I mean how low can news.com go, it's reached rock bottom if it thinks this was a brilliant election winning move. Ignore the threats to use military against US civilians, the complete lack of understanding tariffs that he wants to impose, the swearing and threats and against political opponents, the discussion of dick sizes at campaign rallies, this is it, the winning move!

https://www.news.com.au/world/piers-mor ... 5a36c5ae22

[stevebrooks]

This is just a repeat of Trump's claim that the stock market is rising because they expect Trump to be elected, it's bullshit. The stock market has been posting record highs for the Biden administration, for the entire time of Biden's leadership the stock market has been higher than it was at any time under Trump, that is the lowest Biden numbers have been higher than the highest Trump numbers, so this proves what exactly?

Renowned American investor Stanley Druckenmiller has said the stock market is already “convinced” Donald Trump will win the presidential election in a fortnight.

“I must say, in the last 12 days, the market is very convinced Trump is going to win,” Mr Druckenmiller told Bloomberg Television.

“You can see it in the bank stocks, you can see it in crypto. You can even see it in DJT, his social media company.

Of course it's news.com again, anything to claim that Trump is winning. Surely if the stock market is hitting record highs you would want to keep doing that same things in the next administration, but financial experts have predicted if Trump applies his tariffs and economic plans it could lead to a financial depression worse than the US has seen for decades, it's bizarre! So would low stock market number mean Harris is going to win? No they would spin that as Biden/Harris failing economically and predict that based on low numbers for the stock market for the current administration Trump will win.

https://www.news.com.au/world/north-ame ... 7d136fd8f0

[stylofone]

James Carville is certain Harris will win:

https://archive.is/PwENB

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opin ... ction.html

[stevebrooks]

James Carville is certain Harris will win:

https://archive.is/PwENB

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/10/23/opin ... ction.html

Yeah it's really funny how you can find election "experts" confidently predicting the Dem's will win and others just as confidently predicting the Rep's will win, for most of them it comes down to a lucky guess in a couple of elections and they are suddenly elevated to the position of "expert" or even "guru", like this guy being touted by news. com;

https://www.news.com.au/world/north-ame ... 83d583863d

He correctly "predicted" 2 elections and failed to predict one;

Election savant Nate Silver has put his marker down and revealed his “gut says” that former President Donald Trump will emerge victorious in the US election, while warning that polling data indicates the race could still go either way.

The thing is, his stats aren't that good, the Babe Ruth effect they call it;

Those weak retorts illustrate a faulty foundation in Silver’s approach. Michael Mauboussin, one of the great thinkers in the field of decision-making in the face of uncertainty, educates: “What is striking is that the leading thinkers across varied fields—including horse betting, casino gambling, and investing—all emphasize the same point. We call it the Babe Ruth effect: even though Ruth struck out a lot, he was one of baseball’s greatest hitters.”

It appears his "predictions are little better than the average persons guesses, who would have thought! Basically for every person predicting a Dem win the Rep's can pull out another one predicting a Rep win, but the vibe at the moment to me certainly doesn't tell me the Rep's are going to win, it appears to be going against them fairly strongly, but only time will tell, I am not an expert or a guru.

[pipbarber]

No one can predict election day violence and electoral fraud, by Republicans. And given the absurdity of the electoral college system, it's a narrow path to winning office. Consequently, polls, predictions and experts aren't that useful, that's the impression i get. Anything could happen on the day. We're in uncharted historical territory. I picture a coin rolling along a flat surface but starting to wobble, which side it falls on is 13 days from knowing.

Quite tense really.