Aus Election 2025

[pipbarber]

As usual, but especially this election, if you don't want to wait in line to vote, do it between 3-6pm on election day. It'll be empty.

[stylofone]

The coalition is sinking.

From teh Graun live feed:

Peter Dutton drags Coalition primary vote to lowest levels in YouGov poll

Though the campaigns are officially on pause this morning for Anzac Day events, we are now barely a week from election day – and the polls are continuing to look bad for the Coalition.

The Coalition’s primary vote plunging to its lowest level in a leading poll as the election looms large, Australian Associated Press reports.

The Coalition’s primary vote has dropped to 31%, down from 33% last week, the latest YouGov poll provided to AAP shows. Labor’s primary vote is up 0.5% to 33.5%.

The lowest-ever primary vote the Coalition had received in YouGov polling is driven by the opposition leader’s unpopularity, the organisation’s director of public data, Paul Smith, says.

“The public have clearly made a decision that they don’t want Peter Dutton as prime minister,” he told AAP. “The Coalition is going backwards at a rate of knots.”

The YouGov polling shows Labor leading the Coalition by 53.5% to 46.5% on a two-party preferred basis.

Labor’s support is higher than its 2022 federal election result of 52.1%, while the coalition’s is 4.7% lower than it achieved at that election.

Anthony Albanese (50%) has also extended his lead over Dutton (35 %) as preferred prime minister.

Dutton’s net satisfaction rating dipped to minus 18 from minus 10 last week while Albanese’s was down slightly to minus seven from minus six.

[pipbarber]

Have to be cautious of polls obviously, but the coalition campaign has been pretty fucking terrible. My view though is that maga is having the biggest impact on Dutton's polling. We are not America, the Trump/Maga/Musk trinity is completely toxic to a significant majority of people and Dutton keeps importing their policies, then abandoning them, then trying again.

We may have the orange pustule and his fascist movement to thank for saving Australia from three years of Peter fucking Dutton. Canada, who vote on Monday (why Monday?), may be in the same boat. Actually the Canada case is really startling given the conservatives were almost certain to win this election until Trump started threatening Canada and then launched the pointless trade war. If the liberals win in Canada, it'll send a good and strong message globally that you adopt maga style policies at your electoral peril.

But i get ahead of myself. Still 8 days to go here.

[stevebrooks]

Dutton again, straight out of the Trump playbook:

“Forget about what being told by the ABC and The Guardian, (and) the other hate media. Forget about that.

Does he not understand this sort of thing is part of the reason he is failing?

As far as I can see Dutton has been campaigning on very short term financial incentives, the petrol tax cut only there for a year I think, and the one off $1,200 tax relief, with a few long term plans such as "nuclear baby nuclear" (labor should be using that, it's like Trump's "drill baby drill" a perfect weapon) and at the same time cutting things that would actually benefit Australian in the long term, like the EV incentives, emission regulations and renewable incentives. It's all basically short termism followed by promises of the far future that will never come to pass but that he can abrogate responsibility for because by then he will be long gone!

Let's hope the population can see through this combination of short term monetary gain and cloud cuckoo land promises of a nuclear future for the actual better future of renewables and climate change prevention. I have high hopes, maybe to high sometimes, but c'mon the guy is not much less a conman than Trump, where's our damn monorail



Anyway let's hope we can ditch this shyster for good this next election, will he survive a defeat, I hope not!

https://www.news.com.au/national/federa ... 303ba07453

[stylofone]

Dutton again, straight out of the Trump playbook:

“Forget about what being told by the ABC and The Guardian, (and) the other hate media. Forget about that.

Does he not understand this sort of thing is part of the reason he is failing?

As far as I can see Dutton has been campaigning on very short term financial incentives, the petrol tax cut only there for a year I think, and the one off $1,200 tax relief, with a few long term plans such as "nuclear baby nuclear" (labor should be using that, it's like Trump's "drill baby drill" a perfect weapon) and at the same time cutting things that would actually benefit Australian in the long term, like the EV incentives, emission regulations and renewable incentives. It's all basically short termism followed by promises of the far future that will never come to pass but that he can abrogate responsibility for because by then he will be long gone!

Let's hope the population can see through this combination of short term monetary gain and cloud cuckoo land promises of a nuclear future for the actual better future of renewables and climate change prevention. I have high hopes, maybe to high sometimes, but c'mon the guy is not much less a conman than Trump, where's our damn monorail



Anyway let's hope we can ditch this shyster for good this next election, will he survive a defeat, I hope not!

https://www.news.com.au/national/federa ... 303ba07453

I think Albanese's "mean and nasty" line is a good one. Likewise when Dutton accuses him of lying, he says Dutton is desperate. This sort of language works when you are in the lead. I hope, anyway.

[pipbarber]

Now would be an excellent moment for Trump to double down on tariffs for Australia, or do or say something completely batshit nuts (strong chance there). A very bad week for Trump would be good for our Saturday democracy sausages.

[Hambone]

We voted yesterday in Noosaville. The line wasn't too long and we were done in about 10-15 minutes all up.
We figured out our how-to-vote (HTV) before hand so didn't have to deal with any of the dodger dealers.
(TIP - I was masked-up because I am actually currently Covid positive and nobody attempted to hand us any. - might try that next time regardless).

However, when I see more than one person in line actively seek out a Trumpet of Parrots HTV card (and no other HTV) I have an involuntary verbal reaction - the mask helps there too decorum-wise.

[nutmeg]

I voted yesterday too. Very little in the way of queuing. I too was masked - this was in case I was asked why I couldn't vote on Saturday, so that I could use fear of catching Covid as my excuse. However it didn't stop people offering me "how to vote" cards. I think they were all for my electorate of Swan, even though this was also a polling place for the very marginal seat of Tangney.

[pipbarber]

I've had several interactions over the last two weeks that indicate that many many people simply do not understand how preferential voting works. There is a belief that you have to vote in exactly the same way the 'how to vote' pamphlets tell you to (for your preferred party). It's just lazy ignorance combined with a failure of educational instruction.

I'm suddenly, but quite firmly, of the view that 'how to vote' pamphlets need to be banned entirely. Decide for yourself! Be an active democratic citizen. These pamphlets just pander to ignorance. They benefit bigotry, in my view.

I say that, and yet i'm booked in to hand out pamphlets on election day, which i'll honor obviously, but i might not again - if i can think of some way to generate some interest in banning 'how to vote' pamphlets.

[stevebrooks]

Latest YouGov polls indicate coalition in for worst drubbing in 80 years;

Labor is projected to triumph on Saturday with an increased majority of 84 seats, according to YouGov’s final MRP model, sending the Coalition under Peter Dutton to its worst election defeat since 1946.

Per the YouGov poll, released this morning, Labor leads the Coalition 52.9 per cent to 47 per cent in the national two-party preferred vote.

“This is a dramatic campaign turnaround considering our data in February pointed to a likely Coalition government,” YouGov’s director of public data Paul Smith said.

The Coalition’s projected 47 seats – 11 less than its 2022 tally – is its lowest count in almost 80 years.

Then I remember Trump and worry, it looked like he was going to lose as well......ok guys let's get out there and support the better choice! Let's be like Canada, reject Trumpism and all it's evil machinations!

I mean all this can't help right, straight out of the Trump playbook;

“Mr Dutton earlier in the campaign, when you were asked about schools and their curriculum, someone asked you about a ‘woke agenda in schools’, and you spoke about the potential for a Coalition government to condition funding to the states based on their curriculum,” a journalist told him.

The "Woke agenda," seriously?

“Our candidates have got a higher name ID than some lazy, sitting Labor members.

Personal attacks on the opposition, it's all straight Trumpism and I really don't think the majority of Australians are going for that. Sure Labor has some problems, but I think, I hope, the Dutton problem overshadows all of them. I have voted for independent parties in the past when both sides seemed to be about on a par, not one much worse than the other, don't think I can risk that now, it's all very well voting independent when both are equally bad, or equally good as the case may be, having independent voices in parliament is worth it, but that's simply not the case in this election.

https://www.news.com.au/national/federa ... 6c65f64057